Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.035080 0.040587 0.046688 0.053951 0.062364 0.071809 0.083226
2026-01-18 0.026895 0.034225 0.043152 0.054838 0.069754 0.088189 0.112754
2026-01-25 0.022263 0.030457 0.041185 0.056286 0.077047 0.104668 0.144348
2026-02-01 0.018124 0.026298 0.037648 0.054599 0.079363 0.114361 0.167843
2026-02-08 0.015476 0.023622 0.035521 0.054226 0.083025 0.125912 0.195058
2026-02-15 0.013399 0.021392 0.033604 0.053696 0.086112 0.136690 0.222244
2026-02-22 0.012047 0.020038 0.032758 0.054573 0.091307 0.151126 0.256859
2026-03-01 0.010713 0.018501 0.031373 0.054310 0.094484 0.162533 0.287797
2026-03-08 0.009392 0.016794 0.029460 0.052847 0.095335 0.169985 0.312696
2026-03-15 0.008261 0.015262 0.027640 0.051267 0.095693 0.176482 0.336532
2026-03-22 0.007644 0.014570 0.027206 0.052109 0.100507 0.191485 0.378018
2026-03-29 0.007029 0.013800 0.026525 0.052379 0.104225 0.204806 0.417882
2026-04-05 0.006447 0.013035 0.025787 0.052487 0.107731 0.218319 0.460355
2026-04-12 0.005999 0.012482 0.025395 0.053242 0.112639 0.235242 0.512273
2026-04-19 0.005662 0.012111 0.025319 0.054625 0.119010 0.255920 0.575019
2026-04-26 0.005078 0.011147 0.023906 0.052984 0.118671 0.262315 0.607033
2026-05-03 0.004672 0.010519 0.023126 0.052621 0.121085 0.274957 0.654936
2026-05-10 0.004297 0.009914 0.022325 0.052107 0.123075 0.286857 0.702667
2026-05-17 0.004062 0.009598 0.022130 0.052958 0.128339 0.306897 0.772764
2026-05-24 0.003770 0.009117 0.021502 0.052703 0.130912 0.320872 0.829679
2026-05-31 0.003432 0.008484 0.020448 0.051284 0.130443 0.327390 0.868404
2026-06-07 0.003121 0.007881 0.019398 0.049752 0.129493 0.332588 0.904375
2026-06-14 0.002972 0.007668 0.019278 0.050568 0.134709 0.354124 0.987379